Special Edition: Socially unavailable until further notice
From The GIST (hi@thegistsports.com)

Leveling The Playing Field
Buckle up, bestie!
The WNBA playoffs’ best-of-three first round tips off today — and all four series are appointment viewing. That’s just the beginning of the high-stakes hoops, with the best-of-five semis and best-of-seven Finals on deck. Consider us socially unavailable until further notice.
- Naturally, today’s newsletter is a basketball special, breaking down the good and the bad for all eight playoff teams. Scroll on for a bracket‑boosting cheat sheet.
🐱 No. 1 Minnesota Lynx vs. 🗽 No. 8 NY Liberty — Today at 2:00 p.m. ET

🐱 Why the Lynx will win: This team was already a powerhouse, and then rookie phenom Olivia Miles arrived. Now boasting a true point guard, the rest of the Lynx’s stars have benefitted: Both Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams are having their best seasons in Minnesota. Add in the brilliant coaching mind of Cheryl Reeve and a healthy Napheesa Collier, and it might be their year.
- ❌ Why they won’t: Depth. Unlike seasons past, Minnesota doesn’t have deep rotations. Yes, benches shorten in the playoffs, but all five starters averaged around 30 minutes a game (of a possible 40) in the regular season. Exhausted just thinking about it.
🗽 Why the Liberty will win: These perennial contenders know how to win when it counts. NY dealt with the injury bug — they fielded 13 different starting lineups this season — and that lack of consistency is a major reason the seafoam superstars are the No. 8 seed. Now fully healthy, bet against Breanna Stewart, Jonquel Jones, and Sabrina Ionescu at your own peril.
- ❌ Why they won’t: This Big Apple squad is ripe with potential, but that regular-season inconsistency left them with a spicy first-round matchup. The Lynx will undoubtedly strain a defense that allows 22.2 points in the fourth quarter, second-most among playoff teams.
🃏 No. 3 Las Vegas Aces vs. 🥵 No. 6 Indiana Fever — Today at 4:00 p.m. ET

🃏 Why the Aces will win: The unprecedented four-time MVP — full stop. So long as A’ja Wilson is hooping, the Aces are contenders. That said, a strong supporting cast is non-negotiable if they want to win four titles in five years. Enter: Jackie Young, who’s authoring the best statistical season of her career, and Chelsea Gray, whose point-gawd tendencies are well documented.
- ❌ Why they won’t: Much like the No. 1 seed Lynx, the defending champ Aces are top heavy. That talent shortage primarily affects their frontcourt, especially after a knee injury sidelined NaLyssa Smith for the rest of the season.
🥵 Why the Fever will win: Grab a cold compress because Indy’s offense has been scorching hot all season long. The Fever are averaging 96 points per game, making them the highest-scoring squad in WNBA history. The inimitable Kelsey Mitchell headlines their lethal three-pronged attack, along with being the smartest person in the room and a covergirl.
- ❌ Why they won’t: Their defense is objectively awful — even offensemaxxing has its limits, especially in a postseason with this much parity. The Fever allow a whopping 90.5 points per game, the worst mark (by far) among playoff teams.

🏀 It’s your last chance to get your hand on the ball for our Women’s Basketball Bracket Challenge. Whether you’re a diehard fan or in it for the good vibes, our free-to-enter bracket challenge is for everyone — no expertise required.
🤑 What's at stake for the winners? Ticketmaster gift cards.
- 🥇 First place: $250
- 🥈 Second place: $100
- 🥉 Third place: $75
Time to ball out. Entries close September 27th at 2 p.m. ET, so get your picks in now!
💭 No. 4 Atlanta Dream vs. 🔮 No. 5 Washington Mystics — Today at 7:00 p.m. ET

💭 Why the Dream will win: They roster elite hoopers like Angel Reese, Allisha Gray, and Rhyne Howard, pairing that trifecta with the playoff experience of midseason acquisition and two-time WNBA champ DeWanna Bonner. Their biggest strength though is their ability to generate extra possessions, hauling in a league-best 10.6 offensive rebounds per game.
- ❌ Why they won’t: The Dream present an intriguing defensive conundrum — they lead the league in steals with around nine per game, but if they don’t get that takeaway, they struggle stacking stops. That high-risk, high-reward approach might not translate to playoff success.
🔮 Why the Mystics will win: The youngest-ever roster to make the WNBA playoffs has nothing to lose. No one expected the District to ascend this quickly, yet second-year star Sonia Citron, draftmate Kiki Iriafen, and double-double aficionado Shakira Austin continue to wreak havoc on more experienced squads.
- ❌ Why they won’t: The ’Stics show their age in one major category: turnovers. They averaged the most of any team this season, gifting the ball to their opponents 14.7 times per game. That simply won’t cut it in the playoffs.
💜 No. 2 Golden State Valkyries vs. 🪽 No. 7 Dallas Wings — Today at 9:00 p.m. ET

💜 Why the Valkyries will win: Rumor has it defense wins championships, and the Valks own the league’s best D. Anchored by the trio of Veronica Burton, Gabby Williams, and Kiah Stokes, Golden State double teams, traps, and flips turnovers into transition buckets on the daily. All gas, no brakes in Ballhalla.
- ❌ Why they won’t: Their half-court offense. The Valks struggle to generate points when they aren’t scoring on the fast break. That’s partially due to their lack of a bona fide superstar — instead they rely on team balance and deep rotations.
🪽 Why the Wings will win: Dallas’ offensive firepower is elite, whether it’s MVP candidate Paige Bueckers, who’s been transcendent in her second season, clutch-as-they-come guard Arike Ogunbowale, or triple-double queen Jessica Shepard. But their most compelling argument is that they share the basketball incredibly well, averaging a league-best 22.3 assists per game.
- ❌ Why they won’t: Their defense is…concerning, especially following 2026 No. 1 draft pick and defensive linchpin Azzi Fudd’s season-ending knee injury. They sorely lack rim protection with only Awak Kuier averaging more than one block per game.
The GIST’s hottest postseason takes
The Atlanta Dream finally overcome that first-round curse
Spice level: 🌶️
Las Vegas Ace Jackie Young will lead the postseason in scoring
Spice level: 🌶️🌶️
There’ll be not one but two first-round upsets.
Spice level: 🌶️🌶️🌶️
Minnesota is a regular-season juggernaut — not a Finals team.
Spice level: 🌶️🌶️🌶️🌶️
🍦 The Inside Scoop 🍦
Women’s hoops icons Chamique Holdsclaw (CH) and Tamika Catchings (TC) know their way around a basketball court. We sat down with the Hall of Famers for a WNBA playoff edition of The GIST Plus podcast. Here’s the inside scoop:
The GIST: Which playoff team feels the most dangerous right now?
CH: I’m gonna roll with the Mystics. They have nothing to lose. They’re the young gunners; they have so much energy…People were calling for Coach Sydney’s head, and now he’s in the conversation for Coach of the Year. They’ve turned it around, and they’re having fun and playing hard. So I look forward to seeing what they could do.
TC: I would say Golden State because [head coach Natalie Nakase’s] already claiming, within the next five years [that they’ll win a title]...They expect to win a championship. When you have the defensive mindset that they have and with how they play, they make it really hard for other teams.
What separates a great regular-season team from a team that can actually go the distance?
TC: I would say one shift you see is everything goes back to zero…It does not matter what your regular-season record is. I feel like momentum comes at the end of the season, especially because the last regular-season game is Thursday, and the first playoff game is Sunday…it’s another level of prep. All the distractions you have to eliminate because the first round is just a best of three.
CH: It’s the lock in. It’s being able to make quick adjustments…Everybody’s watching every detail. And that’s when the pressure’s on. This is where the superstars and the legacies are made.
Want to hear the rest of the interview? Become a member of The GIST Plus. Community and conversation are calling.Today’s email was brought to you by Lisa Minutillo. Editing by Molly Potter. Fact-checking and operations by Elisha Gunaratnam. Managing edits by Lauren Tuiskula. Head of content Ellen Hyslop.